Defense & Aerospace
Geopolitical tensions aren't going away. NATO allies are ramping defense spending, and the US defense budget keeps growing. This portfolio captures the multi-year defense spending cycle.
Holdings
Investment Thesis
The post-2022 geopolitical landscape has fundamentally changed defense spending trajectories. NATO members have committed to 2% of GDP minimums, with many moving toward 3%+. The US defense budget has grown every year and bipartisan support remains strong. European rearmament is a multi-decade theme — Germany alone announced a 100 billion euro special fund. This isn't a short-term trade; defense procurement cycles run 5-10 years from contract to delivery. The major primes (Lockheed Martin, RTX, Northrop Grumman) have backlogs measured in years, and supply chains are constrained. The 25% ITOT allocation provides diversification against sector-specific risks like contract cancellations or budget disputes.
Portfolio Construction
Key Considerations
- Defense stocks can be politically sensitive — budget fights or peace developments could pressure the sector
- Long procurement cycles mean revenue growth is slow and steady, not explosive
- Concentrated in a single sector with limited diversification